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#1
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Re: Lets talk Baseball...
[ QUOTE ]
Todays lines are seriously whacked. They are what I call "playoff" lines. The books are totally loaded on Bos and NYY futures bets. They would like nothing more than to see both of these teams lose today. When/if these teams finally get eliminated they breathe a sigh of relief and count their futures profits. So what do they do? They pay us to bet on Chicago and LA today. The lines are laughable and possibly two of the biggest edge lines of the season. Anybody on the fav side of these lines doesn't understand value in the least. I really like the runlines too! [/ QUOTE ] Even with these crazy lines, Sportsbook.com is reporting that 75% of the action is coming in on the Yankees. I think it's more likely that they're putting up these ridiculous lines because they know the can get away with it. The public is going to bet on their favorite team regardless of the line, so the books are going to charge them for that. |
#2
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Re: Lets talk Baseball...
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For those of us that got Chicago for the series, is a +390 hedge the play? [/ QUOTE ] I wouldn't recommend it. The true line has to be at least +500 here, probably higher. |
#3
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Re: Lets talk Baseball...
Last year at had the Yankees...didn't hedge...the rest is history...
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#4
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Re: Lets talk Baseball...
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Last year at had the Yankees...didn't hedge...the rest is history... [/ QUOTE ] And I am 0 for my last 6 when I have resisted hedging. Unless you are in serious need of money it doesn't make sense to take a -EV bet to guarantee a profit on a previously made bet that is looking hugely +EV at the moment. |
#5
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Re: Lets talk Baseball...
If anyone has a Matchbook.com account, you can get LAA +248. After their "commission" it comes out to about +243.
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#6
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Re: Lets talk Baseball...
Marte sucks.......
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