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#1
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Re: A good pot odds link
I'm confused. So if you flop a hand with 12 outs you should push with it? Is that a joke or for real? And if thats serious, then help me understand why. 3:1, does that mean that you will make the hand 1 in 3 times? To me if you push and get called every time you only win 1 of 3 thats not good news. I'm sure I'm not thinking rationally, help me out here.
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#2
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Re: A good pot odds link
3:1 means you will miss 3 times and make it once. Actually 3:1 is the odds of catching on the next card, since you have 2 cards to come if you're allin you're actually nearly even money to hit your hand. This is assuming all your outs are clean of course. What makes pushing good is that you're opponent will fold some % of the time. This doesn't mean you should push every time you have 12 outs though, if you're sure you will get called it is not +EV. There was an excellent discussion of this topic by fimbul a couple of months ago much better then I can explain it, but I don't know how to provide links [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img].
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#3
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Re: A good pot odds link
I've been wrestling with the search, someone please post the link to fimbuls post!!! please [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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#4
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Re: A good pot odds link
[ QUOTE ]
I'm confused. So if you flop a hand with 12 outs you should push with it? Is that a joke or for real? And if thats serious, then help me understand why. 3:1, does that mean that you will make the hand 1 in 3 times? To me if you push and get called every time you only win 1 of 3 thats not good news. I'm sure I'm not thinking rationally, help me out here. [/ QUOTE ] 3:1 = in four times, you miss 3 times and hit once. 3:1 = 25%, 2:1 = 33.3%, etc Pushing with a draw where you are a slight dog, dead even, or slight favorite is done because there is money already in the pot, you generate fold equity, and you get to see both cards if called. You aren't 3:1 with that type of draw, thats just an estimate for one card to come. Even a bare flush draw is ~2:1 seeing two cards. |
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