Strong hand facing river overbet

[aggie]

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I think 30% air, 60% flush, 10% some other hand, which you are ahead of 50/50

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If that's the case, it's interesting you advised a fold

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Why? You need to be right more than 50% of the time to make this call. From those percentages you are right 1/3.

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Wow. Back to math class.

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for those interseted:

The pot is $298 and it's 160 to call...We're getting 1.862-1 to call
If we're ahead 35% of the time (according to ahnuld), that means we're 13-7 dogs and we need to be getting 1.857-1 to call. Which we are!

Seems to be a call by the narrowest of margins.