![]() |
|
#1
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
Search for the ROI simulator. It will run simulations that will tell you this.
|
#2
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
[ QUOTE ]
Search for the ROI simulator. It will run simulations that will tell you this. [/ QUOTE ] ROISimulator Hosted Original Thread |
#3
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
cool link, how come u have a .com domain?
|
#4
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
[ QUOTE ]
cool link, how come u have a .com domain? [/ QUOTE ] It's the fine work of "rvg72" of course... I host a couple sites for my kids sports/school. I had one not in use and had visions of creating a blog of some sorts...just haven't gotten around to it yet. |
#5
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
Results:
For a 15% ROI player, there's a 96.2% chance that you will be breakeven or better over 300 SNGs. As for my question, there's about a 1.2% chance of that drop occurring over 300 SNGs. |
#6
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
I think you should be calculating the chance that a 15% player has a -10 buyin 300 sng run within 1800 sngs.
|
#7
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
[ QUOTE ]
I think you should be calculating the chance that a 15% player has a -10 buyin 300 sng run within 1800 sngs. [/ QUOTE ] No, I shouldn't. That would tell me my % chance of having a 10 buyin drop, which would obviously be higher than my chances of being down 10 buyins over any 300 SNG stretch. I wanted to know the chances of myself having a 10 buyin drop over 300 SNGs, and now I know the answer. Thanks bluefeet! |
#8
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
The chances of having a 10 buyin drop over 300 is pretty close to 100%, if not 100%.
|
#9
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
[ QUOTE ]
That would tell me my % chance of having a 10 buyin drop, [/ QUOTE ] You didn't understand me. I was suggesting you calculate the odds that a 15% player will have a -10 buyin drop over 300 sngs, within his 1800-1900 sng sample. You might be 1% or 5% to experience -10 buyins over 300 sngs, but you have played 1800-1900 and not 300, which makes this much more likely. |
#10
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
[ QUOTE ]
cool link, how come u have a .com domain? [/ QUOTE ] Cause he's a [censored] OG double OG ya heard? |
![]() |
Thread Tools | |
Display Modes | |
|
|