#1
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Winning 5 relative coin flips in a row
Played a SNG earlier today where I almost blew (well, I guess I did blow, but came back to win) a chip lead of 13,200 to 300. I don't have any problem figuring out the odds that I really suck at poker, but could someone please show me how to do the math on this....
After taking the commanding lead we played 5 hands all in preflop...he was favored everytime...65%, 51%, 57%, 65% and 55%. What are the odds that all 5 times his hand would hold up? Thanks. Forgot to add...there where two hands after the ones above where I was favored...and lost...I was a 68% and 59% favorite. |
#2
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Re: Winning 5 relative coin flips in a row
Each hand is independent. Just multiply the probabilities.
(.65)*(.51)*(.57)*(.65)*(.55) |
#3
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Re: Winning 5 relative coin flips in a row
Are you saying he beat you 7 times in a row, doubling up each time? If so you ran out of chips.
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#4
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Re: Winning 5 relative coin flips in a row
I didn't lose 7 hands in a row...but I lost 7 consecutive showdowns. I won a lot of small pots as my opponent was only playing quality hands and often folded to a preflop raise or a post flop bet.
Thanks to MCS for the math help. |
#5
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Re: Winning 5 relative coin flips in a row
I had an S&G like that. I actually lost.
I remember afterwards just sitting there in stunned disbelief. Let me guess. After the 4th showdown you were saying "You gotta be f&&king kidding me!!" |
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