180man SNG Hand #1 - Really really weird AKs

[DarrenX]

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I don't like the fold. You see him doing this with AA KK? I don't. I'd call, theres a lot of dead money, and it's definitely cEV+.

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Ok, but what do you read the button cold-call as? Easy fold for me.

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I see CO doing this with exactly AK and AA-QQ. 80% says its AK.


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This is really really specific. Is this true?

I was about to type that this would make an easy fold before a screwed around with poker stove here. This is still a call or a push, and I still kinda like calling because of the covered pot.

[ClaytonN]

This guy just straight can't play postflop. It screamed of AK. Maybe he has 88-JJ and freakishly rare if he has AA, KK, or QQ.

How am I supposed to interpret button's call though?

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How am I supposed to interpret button's call though?

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Button's range doesn't matter much provided it's not very heavy on AA, KK, AK. I think it's in fact very light on AA, KK.

Playing around with pokerstove makes this really clear.

[Colombo]

this is a $20 180-man on stars correct?

You will see K6o and QJ enough to make this an extremely profitable call. I'm not being sarcastic or exaggerating either.

[Firefly]

CLAYTON's Range
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

8,981,180,208 games 46.157 secs 194,578,941 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 29.5195 % 23.12% 06.40% { AKs }
Hand 2: 38.3004 % 33.77% 04.53% { 99+, AKs, AKo }
Hand 3: 32.1801 % 28.88% 03.30% { 99+, AQs+, AQo+ }


---
MY RANGE

15,725,289,888 games 66.967 secs 234,821,477 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 34.1452 % 28.32% 05.82% { AKs }
Hand 2: 30.7703 % 27.76% 03.01% { 88+, AQs+, KQs, AQo+, KQo }
Hand 3: 35.0844 % 30.91% 04.17% { 99+, AQs+, AQo+ }


So if Clay really believes that is the range for MP1, then its a fold. If not, call

[ClaytonN]

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So if Clay really believes that is the range for MP1, then its a fold. If not, call

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wooyay.

results:

Button has 44
Pusher guy has AKo

[ononimo]

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How am I supposed to interpret button's call though?

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I think it's in fact very light on AA, KK.

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it could actually be heavy on AA b/c the button is looking for a call (or hopefully an all-in reraise) from the original raiser? What other pair wouldn't want to re-raise all-in to shut out any stray Ace that certainly would have odds to call at this point?