#13
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Re: 10% refund question
[ QUOTE ]
Suppose you made 1000 $10 bets with a HA of only 1%. You would expect to lose $100 over that span and would be rebated $10 still losing $90. All they are doing is lowering the house advantage by 10% from 1% to .9%, still -EV. [/ QUOTE ] A 10% rebate on losses creates a +EV situation. You are just not looking at it properly. Bet your whole deposit on a single bet. Let's ignore the 3/2 payout for BJ and assume that I win 49% of the time (this MORE than accounts for the loss due to not being able to double or split)... Deposit $100 and bet it all: 49% of the time, I end up with $200; 51% of the time, I end up with $10. On average, I will end up with $103. Clearly, this is +EV. Acme |
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