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#1
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Re: What is your sixth street play?
There are 28 cards left. If he is on a 4 card draw, the pot odds against him are 6 to 1. If he is on a 2 card draw, the odds are 13 to 1. If you raise, you change the money odds to 9 1/2 to 1 from 8 1/2 to 1. Whether you raise or not, his pot odds are insufficient with the 2 card draw & sufficient with the 4 card draw.
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#2
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Re: What is your sixth street play?
Benwood,
Just think about it this way, if you call and the 2 pair calls, he is making a small mistake, probably costing himself around .2BB-.3BB per call. If you raise, the 2 pair folds, and the smaller straight calls, hes drawing dead so he makes a full big bet mistake. Which mistake is a bigger mistake? Clearly the call from the smaller straight. Also, you will never get outdrawn by going heads up against him, so your profit goes up and your standard deviation goes down. |
#3
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Re: What is your sixth street play?
By raising, he cuts the third man's pot odds from 9.5:1 to a little more than 5:1 (10.5:2).
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