Why I hate "Look at my 500-SNG penis" posts

[Irieguy]

[ QUOTE ]
excellent post. i very much agree.

anyway, you said to ask a "long term" winner about roi and such; im curious as to how you would define "long term" in terms of number of sngs. i have heard some speculative responses to this question but your opinion would be greatly appreciated on the subject (if you have previously stated a number then i obviously missed it).

thanks,
bj

[/ QUOTE ]

Well, it's not like there's some magic number where you are suddenly a "long term" winner. As your data set increases in size, your confidence intervals narrow. You can calculate how likely you are to be a winner after any number of SNGs, and you can define your confidence intervals whenever you would like. Aleo's spreadsheet will even do it all for you.

But, to answer your question more specifically: if for some goofy reason I wanted to know what ROI could be maintained at a given level, I would want to speak with someone who had beaten that level for more than 3,000 SNGs.

Irieguy