Re: downswing frequency? Fill in the blanks! (LC)
Might get better answers in the probability forum.
TO summarise, 50BB is not a downswing, it is a bad day. 100BB is pretty annoying and will occur with regularity. 200BB is tough, but also not incredibly rare say every 100000-150,000 hands or so. More would not suprise me.
BTW, as a rule we don't like these posts here. Post hands or situations.
Also if you search the archives under Homer's name. HE has a few intresting studies on variance and such things. Including a nifty spreadsheet where you can enter your WR and Standard deviation and keep hitting a button and see just how bad it could get.
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