Questionable flop call (?)

[Brad F.]

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If your A is good then you're getting exactly the right odds but you shouldn't be calling off all your stack unless it's +EV, which means you're getting better odds then your chance of making the hand. Both your A and J have to be good to make this call. Given your description as a bit laggy you can probably assume that both cards are live so I'd call.

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We are around 46% to win versus KK, QQ, JJ with no spade in them. We are 43% against the same hands with a spade in them. We are ahead of 1010 and 99, and 47% against 88 with a spade.

So the only hands that make this hand a fold is 55-77, 3-4, 4-8, 8-9 and AA. Pretty hard to narrow the villian's range to just these hands.

I still think it is +EV to call here.

Brad