Value Bet?

[nervous]

villian 48/21/1.5


Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (6 max, 6 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is CO with K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP calls, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, BB calls, MP calls.

Flop: (6.40 SB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
BB checks, MP checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises</font>, MP folds, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, BB calls.

Turn: (6.20 BB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, BB calls.

River: (8.20 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, Hero checks.

Final Pot: 8.20 BB


Everything came in?

[baronzeus]

Everything came in except for Q5o.

[nervous]

Is that a bet?

[spamuell]

No reason to think he has an ace, a flush draw and he almost certainly didn't just hit his gutshot unless it was 54, so bet and get called by a pair. You can fold fairly easily to a river check-raise.

[beachbum]

[ QUOTE ]
No reason to think he has an ace, a flush draw and he almost certainly didn't just hit his gutshot unless it was 54, so bet and get called by a pair. You can fold fairly easily to a river check-raise.

[/ QUOTE ]

If he's got a 4, this is an OESD not a gutshot.

Bet-folding is probably right but I have a hard time value betting here, or if I do folding to a check-raise.

[spamuell]

Oops yeah it's an oesd but I'd still bet.

EDIT: And how can you have both a hard time betting and a hard time folding to a cr? That seems inconsistent, either you think you're likely to be good often or you don't.

[beachbum]

[ QUOTE ]
And how can you have both a hard time betting and a hard time folding to a cr? That seems inconsistent, either you think you're likely to be good often or you don't.

[/ QUOTE ]

Well I don't like betting because I don't think I've got the best hand here 55% of the time. But IF I did, then I don't think I could bring myself to folding getting ~11:1 after a checkraise.

[Jeff W]

Check it.