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Old 07-14-2005, 03:01 PM
Carl_William Carl_William is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2002
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Default Re: Worst Omaha 8OB hand

Re: Worst Omaha 8OB hand

[ QUOTE ]
has to be 2222. You can't make a low. Is it even possible to win with 2222? I don't think it is, in a full-ring all-in situation

[/ QUOTE ]

Question: Is it even possible to win with 2222?

Answer: Of course it's possible.

Very rough approximation: (for scooping in OM8)

Assume: Assume the final board cards (in any order) are X X X Y Z; where X X X represents any set of cards; 9 or higher (such as three 9's or three kings), and Y & Z represent any other two cards in the deck other than a deuce. The pocket hand with 2222 consists of a full house "XXX 22; (such as KKK22)." The odds of this board event "XXXYZ" occurring are maybe about once in 300 deals. The odds of a player being dealt "2222" are maybe once in 20,000; and the probability of the other nine players not having a pair are maybe about:

(0.5)^9 = 0.00195 = (about) 0.2% or once in 500 deals. Therefore....

The probability of 2222 winning in Omaha8 is maybe:

1/300/20,000/500 = about 3.33 wins in ten billion deals. And....

The probability of 2222 winning in high only Omaha is maybe about:

once in a billion deals.

The errors resulting from the assumptions in this rough analysis are really just a moot point.
Why: It is almost an impossible event during probably most poker players lifetimes. And even if the errors involved in this calculation are plus or minus 1000%; it would still be an improbable event....
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