#1
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Probability of getting the same pocket pair 4 times in a row?
I played in a NL holdem sit&go tourney yesturday and during the middle of the game, I was dealt 66 four times in a row. I am curious of what the probabilitiy is of this happening? 3 out of the 4 I hit the set "666". I think the poker devil is after me.
My next hand was 77. What would the probability be of getting any pocket pair dealt 5 hands in a row. Thanks for your help. |
#2
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Re: Probability of getting the same pocket pair 4 times in a row?
well the odds of you getting a pocket pair is 13/220. Now after you get your first pocket pair getting that same pair again many times you multiplay 13/220 by 1/220.
Same pocket pair 4 times in a row: 1 / 180,196,923 Same pocket pair 5 times in a row: 1 / 39,643,323,076 |
#3
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Re: Probability of getting the same pocket pair 4 times in a row?
[ QUOTE ]
Same pocket pair 4 times in a row: 1 / 180,196,923 [/ QUOTE ] Damn, you need to go buy some lottery tickets. |
#4
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Re: Probability of getting the same pocket pair 4 times in a row?
Odds of any pair preflop = 13/220. So, to answer the other part of your question (any pair 5 times in a row), it's as simple as (13/220)^5 or about 1388023 to 1.
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#5
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Re: Probability of getting the same pocket pair 4 times in a row?
read the thread title, he said the same pocket pair, then asked another question in the post, kinda confusing but I think he ment the same pocket pair, not any.
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#6
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Re: Probability of getting the same pocket pair 4 times in a row?
[ QUOTE ]
What would the probability be of getting any pocket pair dealt 5 hands in a row. [/ QUOTE ] I read the title and I read the original question. Perhaps this is semantics, but his second question was worded differently. |
#7
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Re: Probability of getting the same pocket pair 4 times in a row?
180 million to one...nice. It kind of freaks me out that the pair was 66 and I ended up with a set three times. Can't stop thinking about it. Wondering if it is a sign from the devil to quit playing. hehe
Thanks for the replies. I did mean ANY pocket pairs...five hands in a row. I got 77 on the fifth hand. Here is the hand history if interested. Game #809445037 (Level V, Game #1) - 50/100 No Limit Texas Hold'em - 2005/04/29-07:05:59.0 (CST) Table "Makira" ($5 tournament) -- Seat 4 is the button Seat 2: Kreks21 (1,287.00 in chips) Seat 4: Lupicaz (1,502.00 in chips) Seat 5: APJ72 (1,936.00 in chips) Seat 6: UBring_It_On (2,586.00 in chips) Seat 7: FlopThaNuts (330.00 in chips) Seat 8: theCoinmaker (1,120.00 in chips) Seat 10: KOBEx8x (1,239.00 in chips) APJ72 : Post Small Blind (50) UBring_It_On: Post Big Blind (100) Dealing... <font color="blue"> </font> FlopThaNuts: Raise (330) theCoinmaker: Fold KOBEx8x said, "gl" KOBEx8x : Call (330) Kreks21 : Fold Lupicaz : Fold APJ72 : Fold FlopThaNuts said, "cya" UBring_It_On: Call (230) <font color="blue"> </font> UBring_It_On: Bet (900) FlopThaNuts said, "or not" KOBEx8x said, "this is hard to fold" FlopThaNuts said, "come on aces" KOBEx8x : Fold UBring_It_On said, "you might out draw" KOBEx8x said, "lol" *** TURN *** : [ 7d 9d 6c ] [ 4c ] *** RIVER *** : [ 7d 9d 6c 4c ] [ Tc ] FlopThaNuts said, "lol" *** SUMMARY *** Pot: 1,040 | Board: [ 7d 9d 6c 4c Tc ] Kreks21 didn't bet (folded) Lupicaz didn't bet (folded) APJ72 lost 50 (folded) UBring_It_On bet 1,230, collected 1,940, net +710 (showed hand) [ 6d 6s ] (three of a kind, sixes) FlopThaNuts lost 330 (showed hand) [ Kh Th ] (a pair of tens) theCoinmaker didn't bet (folded) KOBEx8x lost 330 (folded) Game #809445566 (Level V, Game #2) - 50/100 No Limit Texas Hold'em - 2005/04/29-07:07:08.3 (CST) Table "Makira" ($5 tournament) -- Seat 5 is the button Seat 2: Kreks21 (1,287.00 in chips) Seat 4: Lupicaz (1,502.00 in chips) Seat 5: APJ72 (1,886.00 in chips) Seat 6: UBring_It_On (3,296.00 in chips) Seat 8: theCoinmaker (1,120.00 in chips) Seat 10: KOBEx8x (909.00 in chips) UBring_It_On: Post Small Blind (50) theCoinmaker: Post Big Blind (100) <font color="blue"> </font> KOBEx8x : Fold KOBEx8x said, "ak suited" Kreks21 : Fold Lupicaz : Fold APJ72 : Fold UBring_It_On: Call (50) theCoinmaker: Raise (150) UBring_It_On: Call (150) *** FLOP *** : [ Qd Tc Jh ] UBring_It_On: Check theCoinmaker: Bet (200) UBring_It_On: Call (200) <font color="blue"> </font> UBring_It_On: Bet (300) theCoinmaker: Call (300) *** RIVER *** : [ Qd Tc Jh 6d ] [ 7d ] UBring_It_On: Bet (325) theCoinmaker: Call (325) *** SUMMARY *** Pot: 2,150 | Board: [ Qd Tc Jh 6d 7d ] Kreks21 didn't bet (folded) Lupicaz didn't bet (folded) APJ72 didn't bet (folded) UBring_It_On bet 1,075, collected 2,150, net +1,075 (showed hand) [ 6s 6h ] (three of a kind, sixes) theCoinmaker lost 1,075 [ Js Ad ] (a pair of jacks) KOBEx8x didn't bet (folded) Game #809446046 (Level V, Game #3) - 50/100 No Limit Texas Hold'em - 2005/04/29-07:08:08.7 (CST) Table "Makira" ($5 tournament) -- Seat 6 is the button Seat 2: Kreks21 (1,287.00 in chips) Seat 4: Lupicaz (1,502.00 in chips) Seat 5: APJ72 (1,886.00 in chips) Seat 6: UBring_It_On (4,371.00 in chips) Seat 8: theCoinmaker (45.00 in chips) Seat 10: KOBEx8x (909.00 in chips) theCoinmaker: Post Small Blind (45) KOBEx8x : Post Big Blind (100) Dealing... <font color="blue"> </font> theCoinmaker said, "yeez" Kreks21 : <font color="blue"> </font> theCoinmaker said, "nice call on flop" Kreks21 said, <font color="blue"> </font> Lupicaz : Raise (300) APJ72 : Fold UBring <font color="blue"> </font> KOBEx8x : Call (200) *** FLOP *** : [ 5s 3h 9c ] theCoinmaker said, "cant believe you called me there" KOBEx8x : Check Lupicaz : Bet (300) KOBEx8x : Call (300) *** TURN *** : [ 5s 3h 9c ] [ 7h ] KOBEx8x : Check Lupicaz : Check *** RIVER *** : [ 5s 3h 9c 7h ] [ 8s ] UBring_It_On said, "yup" KOBEx8x : Bet (309) Lupicaz : Call (309) KOBEx8x said, "gg" *** SUMMARY *** Pot: 135 | Side pot 1: 1,728 | Board: [ 5s 3h 9c 7h 8s ] Kreks21 didn't bet (folded) Lupicaz bet 909, collected 1,863, net +954 (showed hand) [ As Ks ] (high card ace) APJ72 didn't bet (folded) UBring_It_On didn't bet (folded) [ 6s 6c ] (a straight, five to nine) theCoinmaker lost 45 (showed hand) [ Td 2s ] (high card ten) KOBEx8x lost 909 (showed hand) [ Ts Ah ] (high card ace) Game #809446509 (Level V, Game #4) - 50/100 No Limit Texas Hold'em - 2005/04/29-07:09:08.5 (CST) Table "Makira" ($5 tournament) -- Seat 6 is the button Seat 2: Kreks21 (1,287.00 in chips) Seat 4: Lupicaz (2,456.00 in chips) Seat 5: APJ72 (1,886.00 in chips) Seat 6: UBring_It_On (4,371.00 in chips) Kreks21 : Post Small Blind (50) Lupicaz : Post Big Blind (100) Dealing... <font color="blue"> </font> APJ72 : Fold UBring_It_On: Call (100) Kreks21 : Fold Lupicaz : Check *** FLOP *** : [ Jh 9d 3s ] Lupicaz : Check UBring_It_On: Check <font color="blue"> </font> Lupicaz : Check UBring_It_On: Bet (100) Lupicaz : Call (100) *** RIVER *** : [ Jh 9d 3s 6d ] [ 8d ] Lupicaz : Bet (300) UBring_It_On: Call (300) *** SUMMARY *** Pot: 1,050 | Board: [ Jh 9d 3s 6d 8d ] Kreks21 lost 50 (folded) Lupicaz bet 500, collected 1,050, net +550 (showed hand) [ 5d 2d ] (a flush, nine high) APJ72 didn't bet (folded) UBring_It_On lost 500 (showed hand) [ 6h 6c ] (three of a kind, sixes) Game #809446955 (Level V, Game #5) - 50/100 No Limit Texas Hold'em - 2005/04/29-07:10:06.0 (CST) Table "Makira" ($5 tournament) -- Seat 2 is the button Seat 2: Kreks21 (1,237.00 in chips) Seat 4: Lupicaz (3,006.00 in chips) Seat 5: APJ72 (1,886.00 in chips) Seat 6: UBring_It_On (3,871.00 in chips) Lupicaz : Post Small Blind (50) APJ72 : Post Big Blind (100) Dealing... <font color="blue"> </font> UBring_It_On: Call (100) Kreks21 : Call (100) Lupicaz : Call (50) APJ72 : Check *** FLOP *** : [ 5h Qs 6h ] Lupicaz : Check APJ72 : Check UBring_It_On: Check Kreks21 : Bet (100) Lupicaz : Fold APJ72 : Fold UBring_It_On: Call (100) *** TURN *** : [ 5h Qs 6h ] [ 2h ] UBring_It_On: Check Kreks21 : Check *** RIVER *** : [ 5h Qs 6h 2h ] [ 3c ] UBring_It_On: Check Kreks21 : Check *** SUMMARY *** Pot: 600 | Board: [ 5h Qs 6h 2h 3c ] Kreks21 lost 200 (showed hand) [ 6d Ad ] (a pair of sixes) Lupicaz lost 100 (folded) APJ72 lost 100 (folded) UBring_It_On bet 200, collected 600, net +400 (showed hand) [ 7s 7c ] (a pair of sevens) ----------------------------------------------------- |
#8
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Re: Probability of getting the same pocket pair 4 times in a row?
yes you are going to hell [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]
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#9
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Re: Probability of getting the same pocket pair 4 times in a row?
[ QUOTE ]
well the odds of you getting a pocket pair is 13/220. [/ QUOTE ] It's actually 1/17 unless I'm missing something obvious, but that's only slightly less than your 13/220. |
#10
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Re: Probability of getting the same pocket pair 4 times in a row?
No it actually 13/220
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