Odds of 3 in a row?

[Bozeman]

Look at it this way: he had to have some hand in the BB (p=1). This one happened to be Q4o, but if he had 62o, and then got it two more times, he'd be posting about that.

I guess a slightly more accurate calculation would be P(suited)*P(same hand two more times)+P(unsuited)*P(same hand two more times)+P(pair)*P(same hand two more times)=4/17*4/1326*4/1326+12/17*12/1326*12/1326 +1/17*6/1326*6/1326=2e-6+5.8e-5+1e-6=6.1e-5 or about 1 in 16000. Approximately the same as just the unsuited probability.

Craig

[Ray Zee]

to ruin it for everyone. three in a row of something happens regularly in life. we only notice sometimes after twice, but mostly after the third time. so the prob. is one of it happening. its just a matter of where it happens.its always most memorable with aces in poker. and there we start from twice as we get aces once or twice a session. so the chances of getting aces twice in a row is the same as getting them the next hand as we only look for the event after it happens first. can everyone figure out the prob. of getting aces on the next hand. i hope so.