What's a high hand and jackpot worth?

[Siegmund]

How willing are you to always play a potential jackpot hand until you are sure the jackpot is no longer possible?

*If* you see every potential jackpot winner through to the river, the return is an impressive $16 per 100 hands. I am surprised how generous of a jackpot you have... must be one hell of a rake to pay for that.

You'll be folding a lot of the gappeds and small connectors, but playing many of the pairs and most the high suited cards, so I would guesstimate the practical rate of return is around $10 or $12 per hundred.


Here's how I arrived at that figure:

Making a royal: board needs 3 specific cards + any 2 others: 1 in 1960 chance of $500 = AKs is worth $0.26.

Making other SF: board needs 3 specific cards; must NOT have one higher card + any 2 others: 1 in 2047 chance of $300 = A2s is worth about $0.15.

Combinations of the above add up to as much as 70 cents for JTs, various smaller amounts for other suited connectors.

AA: makes quads 17296 ways, plus one ace + pair or better on board 4x67860 ways (minus 4x12 way to get 3 aces + other quads on board) = 13.6% chance of winning $100 with AA!

other pockets: quads 17296 ways + exactly 3 aces on the board 4324 - 4 hands counted twice: 1.02% chance of $100

6 x $13.62 + 12 x 6 x $1.02 + all the suited combinations = $217.96 / 1326 = 16.4 cents per deal on average.