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Old 11-08-2004, 11:35 AM
Lost Wages Lost Wages is offline
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Default Re: Odds Question

If you hold QQ and he holds T9o, what are the odds that he will flop a straight? I think that is your question.

He can flop a straight with 678, 78J, 8JQ or JQK. He can flop 678 or 78J 4*4*4=64 ways each and 8JQ or JQK 4*4*2=32 ways each (you hold 2 queens). Total ways to flop a straight = 192. With 48 unseen cards there are a total of (48*47*46)/(3*2) = 17,296 possible flops. Probability = 192/17,296 = 1.11%. Odds = (1-.0111)/.0111 = 89.1:1.

Caro's number aren't right because they answer the question, "If I have a max stretch connector, what are the odds I will flop a straight?" In this instance, you have more information.

Lost Wages
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