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Old 06-09-2004, 08:07 AM
DeeJ DeeJ is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Fold
Posts: 396
Default Not simple, not obvious

Surely this ain't obvious or simple. Stats from half-a-million hands show that 77 has an EV of +0.16 BB, 44 has an EV of -0.07 BB. For what it's worth, 66 +0.07BB and 55 +0.02BB. I would imagine the majority of pots are multiway preflop...

The stats come from a total of 122 million hands dealt at real money tables. This leaves me with the choice of

a) most players are rubbish and can't extract enough value from 44 and/or overplay 77
b) you're wrong.

Even if a) is true I think they still know how to win with a set, they are more not less likely to be playing 44 and it still doesn't mean 44 ~= 77 for a reasonable or good player.

So I'm inclined to b) especially as dynastic gods are on my side [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

PS I have spent money on your excellent books but it doesn't say 44 ranks up there with 77 [img]/images/graemlins/mad.gif[/img]
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