flop a set, fold a set

[mike l.]

"So he can have AA(3 ways) and KK (3 ways) or KdJd (1 way) -- horrible fold."

youre being simplistic. my read was KdJd was less likely than AA or KK by quite a bit. so it looks like 1 in 7, but it's actually weighted more towards AA or KK. at least that was my read. and is it really fair for me to completely discount AxKd (i think it is, but it's a big pot...).

but there's more: what could all in player have? maybe AA as well as KdJd are less likely because those are likely sorts of cards for all in player to have in her hand?