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I am reading The Theory of Poker and am trying to understand how he gets the calculations done in Chapter 5, pages 38 to 41. For example, playing 7-stud, you start with 3 spades and have seen seven other cards. The following table shows the effect of the other cards on making the flush.
Number of Spades / Chances of Flush % 0 / 23.6% 1 / 19.6% 2 / 15.8% 3 / 12.3% 4 / 9.1% I do not understand how this is determined. I tried myself using this equation: 52 cards minus 3 I have minus 7 on the table. That gives me 42 remaining cards. There are 11 cards I can get to get the flush, thus 31 cards that can beat me. That means I have a 31 to 11 chance of getting a spade. However, that does not equal 23.6% (rather 35%). Obviously, I am not understanding how to calculate this. Any help would be GREATLY appreciated! Thanks! |
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