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mcevoy article
here's what this article is saying to me: - it is correct to put your opponent on a big pair here, meaning you will fold on the flop unless you hit a set, or an open-end straight draw. even if you hit a set, your opponent may hit a bigger set. - your pot odds are 3.5:1, implied odds are 6.17:1, and the odds of winning the hand and sticking around to see it are about 7.5:1. also, there is a ~2% chance that you will lose all your chips to a set-over-set or by flopping a straight draw and missing. - nevertheless, you should call here. i won't even get into conserving chips and avoiding close gambles in a tournament. card player really needs to either proofread some of these articles or hire some authors that properly consider a question before writing an entire article on it. |
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