pretty simple question

[The Goober]

I think it simply comes down to how often you are ahead.

If you are ahead, then betting is clearly right because you can protect your hand and give yourself the option of a free showdown or going an extra bet on the river if your draw comes in. I think the problem with checking to induce a bluff on the river is that if your draw comes in villain may not bet into you because the board is going to look pretty scary at that point (and he may not even call your bet).

If you are behind, I think there's very little value in betting. The board is *so* dry that if villain caught a piece of it he's probably going to show it down. Getting CR'd isn't the end of the world, but we'd still rather not be.

So are we ahead? I dunno, I guess it's really read-dependant. I think that villain would have to be an awfully big donk to call that flop with a draw, though. Maybe something like A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ?