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View Poll Results: Where should Matt put the $500 chip? | |||
Who cares, go F yourself. |
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29 | 16.38% |
choices. |
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2 | 1.13% |
many |
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1 | 0.56% |
too |
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3 | 1.69% |
I made |
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1 | 0.56% |
Other? |
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4 | 2.26% |
double 0 |
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13 | 7.34% |
3rd column |
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4 | 2.26% |
2nd column |
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7 | 3.95% |
1st column |
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1 | 0.56% |
3rd 12 |
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3 | 1.69% |
2nd 12 |
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5 | 2.82% |
1st 12 |
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3 | 1.69% |
19-36 |
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2 | 1.13% |
1-18 |
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2 | 1.13% |
odd |
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3 | 1.69% |
even |
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3 | 1.69% |
36 |
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0 | 0% |
35 |
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0 | 0% |
34 |
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0 | 0% |
33 |
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2 | 1.13% |
32 |
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2 | 1.13% |
31 |
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1 | 0.56% |
30 |
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0 | 0% |
29 |
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1 | 0.56% |
28 |
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2 | 1.13% |
27 |
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5 | 2.82% |
26 |
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0 | 0% |
25 |
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1 | 0.56% |
24 |
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0 | 0% |
23 |
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8 | 4.52% |
22 |
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4 | 2.26% |
21 |
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0 | 0% |
20 |
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3 | 1.69% |
19 |
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1 | 0.56% |
18 |
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4 | 2.26% |
17 |
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5 | 2.82% |
16 |
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1 | 0.56% |
15 |
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0 | 0% |
14 |
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2 | 1.13% |
13 |
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11 | 6.21% |
12 |
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5 | 2.82% |
11 |
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3 | 1.69% |
10 |
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1 | 0.56% |
9 |
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1 | 0.56% |
8 |
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1 | 0.56% |
7 |
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1 | 0.56% |
6 |
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1 | 0.56% |
5 |
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1 | 0.56% |
4 |
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2 | 1.13% |
3 |
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3 | 1.69% |
2 |
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2 | 1.13% |
1 |
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0 | 0% |
Black (pussy bet) |
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11 | 6.21% |
Red (pussy bet) |
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6 | 3.39% |
Voters: 177. You may not vote on this poll |
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Thread Tools | Display Modes |
#1
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First off, I don't want this to come off as a brag post. I am looking for advice from people who have taken shots at limits they are not necesarily bankrolled for.
I recently ran well in my regular games of 3/6 6max and 5/10 6max. I decided I'd take a 25BB shot at 10/20 6max. If I lost that 25BB, I check it off as a learning experience for moving up in the future. So far I'm 800 hands in and am up to 75BB for that level. I just ran some 'risk of ruin' calculations and came up with the following: Assuming a standard deviation of 16.5BB / 100, my risk of ruin (ruin = losing my 10/20 winnings and initial 25BB investment) for different hypothetical winrates are as follows: Winrate = 2.0, ROR = 33% Winrate = 1.5, ROR = 44% Winrate = 1.0, ROR = 58% I feel like I am probably between 1.0 and 1.5 BB / 100 winner in this game (if one can even estimate such a thing). How should I proceed from here? If I continue taking this shot, am I effectively flipping a coin for 75BB ($1,500)? When I look at it that way it makes me want to discontinue taking the shot. Perhaps I can remove my initial 25BB investment so that if I lose my winnings I will have gained 'free' experience at 10/20. What do you think? |
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