5/10: Controlling how many bets go in on the river

[robinsons]

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Then calling has an expectation of -.4 BBs (ignoring what's already in the pot - you're obviously not folding).

Raising has an expectation of .6 - .3*2 -.1*1= -.1.


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not sure how you did your calc's...
I tried doing it myself (only counting bets going in on the river), and came up with:

ev(calling) = 0.2
ev(raising) = 2*0.6 - 2*0.1 - 3*.3 = 0.1

assuming ahead 60%, when behind he just calls 10% and 3bets 30%