Overpair vs mucho turn AG.

[McGahee]

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It most definitely does change things.

When c/r on the the turn I put him on 4 types of hands.

1. TPGK
2. Pair +flush
3. Two pair
4. Straight/flush combo

I 3bet because I'm ahead of 3/4. When I'm capped, I think 3 is more likely but have 5 outs even against that.

On the river, I only beat AQ and KQ. Even QJ just jumped in front.

The river is a fold, but like I said, I doubt I'm good enought to make it.


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The collective chances of two pair + set + bluff + TP are SO much more likely than any drawing hands or made/draw combos. There is absolutely no chance that he's playing a straight or flush draw often enough to tip the river from a call to a fold. None.