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Calculating flush odds MY WAY.
10 handed. 10/20 cent limit. u get a5 of spades. 5 calls = pot total 50 cent.
SB bets > 3 folds. You have 4 flush. the odds of ending up with flush at the showdown are according to D. Sklansky are 1.86 : 1. My version: 20 cards were dealt out preflop. quarter of them or 5 cards will be in the long run spades. u picked up two. Lets assume the other 3 spades will be folded. and two other on the board. Shoulnt you calculate the chance of flush at the showdown like this: 13 spades total. u have two and three were folded, 2 spades on board. 6 spades in the deck over. so 6/47 * 5/46 + 6/47 * 41/46 + 41/47 * 6/46. so odds of ending up with flush are 3.09 : 1 discuss... |
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