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Old 12-10-2005, 11:45 PM
MicroBob MicroBob is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: memphis
Posts: 1,245
Default Re: Stats post...

Nice post and all true of course.

but there's also a tendency around here for someone to be in a 300BB downswing and be told "well...that's bound to happen sooner or later for any winning player."

the fact remains that it could very well also be indicative of some really crappy play and it's dangerous to always turn to the 'variance is wild' logic to explain away any or every downswing.


I see posts from new-ish players who are concerned with how much they have lost in a very short period.
Well...yes, the idea needs to be driven in that variance happens. But they also need to be told that they very well might not be playing a winning game.


I agree with the overall sentiment though. Just pointing out a little nit-pick of mine on a lot of the various variance posts around here.



I got on today and dropped around 30BB's.
Took a break. Got back on and dropped another 20BB's.

50BB's down for the day is nothing spectacular of course.
But the number of -20 to -50 days I've been having lately is a bit more than I'm comfortable with (personal downswing is up to about 600BB's now...Hooray!!!! at least my AA's are stealing the blinds now..instead of constantly getting sucked-out on)
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