Common problem with super-draws

[pzhon]

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I would lead for $10 and hope to get raised by a big overpair.

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Do you always like to gamble for 250BBs on a 50/50 shot?

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[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] In the villain's place, would you call 250BBs with one pair? Sometimes pushing decreases your variance.

[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] It's not 50-50. Not only is the OESFD a 54-46 favorite again KK or AA (averaging over the cases of a club or not), there is a significant amount of dead money after you get reraised on the flop.