Why favorites are on a roll in NFL '05

[mrbaseball]

"I'm getting my arse handed to me this year but I'm still way up over the last 10 years."

I'm not saying that the ultimate top 1-2% of NFL bettors can't beat it long term. And by long term I mean over several seasons. But I have my doubts anyone but the cream of the cream could do it. The game is too heavily bet and teams change too much from year to year let alone week to week.

I think if you plan to bet sports that the NFL is the toughest nut to crack because it is basically random.