Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > General Poker Discussion > Poker Theory
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

 
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Prev Previous Post   Next Post Next
  #1  
Old 12-05-2005, 01:55 PM
Snarf Snarf is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: Men should act like Men
Posts: 4,434
Default Hypothetical Pot odds in tourney Question

Hypothetical situation:

Hand 1 of a SNG. I flop the nut flush draw. W/raising going on before I act the pot is now giving me 3:1 on my money to call off 1/3 of my stack trying to hit a flush. Lets say - for the sake of this question - I accidentally SEE the one players hand. Ax for TPTK. I know this player to overvalue TPTK so my FE = 0. Plus,my ace is no good as a winning out. I need a flush. THis is what I am struggling with at the moment.

WHICH decision has more value:
a) Calling.
1/3 of the time I hit my flush and end up having 3,000 in chips (or more probably with implied odds.)
Meaning 2/3 of the time I lose 1/3 of my chips early on.

-or-
b) Folding my priced in draw. Meaning 3/3 times I Don't lose 1/3 of my stack early on. I sacrifice the one time gaining on chips for the two times of losing chips.

Which has more value and why?

(Lets pretend that I know for a fact the turn would check around giving me a chance to draw to my flush to both cards.)
Reply With Quote
 


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 12:53 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.