Continuation bets

[Guthrie]

I hate continuation bets against loose players. Against tight players they either work or they don't, but at least I have some idea where I am, and there is at least reason to believe that they might be +EV. Loose players may be calling, or raising, because they hit the flop, or just for the fun of it.

In both these cases I don't really have enough outs to continue, but does the villain, and is there any way to tell?

Should I just go back to continuation betting against tight opponents and check/folding against the loose ones? Or is that too weak/tight?

Villain (button) is 35.4/0.2. I doubt he'll fold, but I lead the flop anyway. Fire again on the turn or check it down?

PokerStars 1/2 Hold'em (10 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is CO with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. Hero posts a blind of $1.
UTG calls, <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero (poster) raises</font>, Button calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, UTG calls.

Flop: (7.50 SB) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, Button calls, UTG calls.

Turn: (5.25 BB) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
UTG checks, Hero ?


Villain (button) is 58.7/9.52. Again, I feel the need to lead the flop, but now what? Is there any reason to call the raise? Was there even any reason to lead the flop?

PokerStars 1/2 Hold'em (9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. CO posts a blind of $1.
<font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, CO (poster) calls, Button calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>.

Flop: (7.50 SB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, CO folds, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises</font>, Hero ?