Re: Big non-nut draw on Turn with plenty behind
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For those of you who are advocating continuing to bulldoze on the turn with no pair and a couple non-nut flush draws, doesn't it seem wrong to you to be semi-bluffing into a player described as a loose passive player, i.e. a calling station? Especially since he likely puts the hero on a big pair and a draw only and now can not only bluff raise with impunity but also with a legitimate hand like a set/2 pair or a low straight? And what is your plan when the villain just smoothcalls and you have built that big pot with nothing out of position, and a red A or K comes on the river? Push your last money into a calling station and pray you don't get to look at aces up or two pair?
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It certainly crossed my mind when I posted originally. But why did the villain smoothcall the flop? Probably because he is weak. He is either drawing himself or hoping a marginal hand is good here. I find that firing a second bullet in a raised pot often does the trick. 80% of the time in a raised pot that flop call indicates weakness. Sometimes it means strength, which makes the next move tricky to navigate, but I don't think you can pass up the likely fold equity that you have on the turn here.
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