#22
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Re: Did I chicken out with my flush draw on the turn?
[ QUOTE ]
If raising the flop is a mistake it's still clearly +EV, and I'm not even sure it's a mistake. You're a favorite HU against his range right now (you're even a solid favorite if he has AA/KK and still have 40% equity if he has queens) and on this flop you're nearly ALWAYS going to get at least one cold-caller. [/ QUOTE ] I just pokerstoved it, and here are the assumptions and results: Text results appended to pokerstove.txt 740,460 games 0.750 secs 987,280 games/sec Board: Qc 8c Jh Dead: equity (%) win (%) / tie (%) Hand 1: 55.7155 % [ 00.56 00.00 ] { QsQh } Hand 2: 37.8376 % [ 00.34 00.04 ] { AcTc } Hand 3: 04.0630 % [ 00.00 00.04 ] { JdTd } Hand 4: 02.3839 % [ 00.02 00.00 ] { random } I still think the call is better. That being said, if one of the other two clowns gets a wild hair up his ass and checkraise 3 bets, a cap is good. It might sounds strange, but I think you understand how I could not like the raise on this flop but at the same time love the cap. |
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