Natedogg's Best Bets

[TAFKAn]

Cleveland/KC under 44

Cleveland's defense is still wholly under-rated. They have given up 4 passing TDs. They are #2 on passing defense. Although they are giving up an above-average number of rush yards, they are tied for 2nd with fewest rushing TDs.
They have the 7th overall ranked defense.

I believe their rushing yards stats are overblown because of two monster games vs. Jamal Lewis and L.T. But how terrible is it to give up a big game to those guys? Even so, giving up big rush yards only means lots of time off the clock and lots of ball control for the other team.

Plenty of room to sqeeze in under 44.

Which leads me to:
Cleveland +9.5 vs. KC
I would even venture a small moneyline bet here. Cleveland is well suited to give KC trouble. This could be a major let-down game for the Chiefs.

Buffalo/Dallas over 37
Both of these teams can score. Buffalo defense has been spotty. Luckily for Buffalo, the Dallas pass rush is pretty weak and this will give Bledsoe a chance to actually make some completions to the fully-healed Eric Moulds.

Have fun and don't bet too much Scalfie.