#8
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Re: BB Small Flush
No, it isn't flawed. The pot is tiny, and as I said in my first post, I'm sure your bet on the flop would have some fold equity because of the tiny pot. Does a guy who limped AJ and facing a BB bet want to continue to 3 outs plus a BDSD?
Generally speaking, you do want to push your flush draws when you have more than one other caller. At least on the small streets. With a couple more limpers in the pot, and no pre-flop aggressor, I'd definitely bet out hoping everyone calls or I get a chance to 3-bet. The EV stems from your flush is roughly 35% to come in and you are putting in 33% of the money. You gain 2%. That is 3-handed. If it's 5-handed, you are putting in 20% on a 35% draw, thus gaining 15% on your investment. (All results long-run, over time of course) Thus I like the bet out against 4+ players with no preflop AGG, and a C/R against only 2 others. And I'm not all that sad when it gets checked through and I get to see the turn for free. |
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