AQo, whiff the flop.

[hobbsmann]

I'm having a hard time putting UTG+2 on a hand here, but am leaning toward him being a stubborn calling station with what is now second pair on the turn. So I'm going say that him calling the river shouldn't affect your river decesion directly. It has an indirect effect in that the pot is now protected and thus BB is (theorectically) going to need a hand that beats TPGK to bet the river. That being said BB is still unknown and I think we can argue that the river call is thin, but given the pot size, good in that you will see Ax [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] and AT/AJ enough to make it profitable.

The turn call is good as the combination of having a fair amount of outs against two pair, 3 outs against Aces up, and being ahead of the above mentioned aces make calling at around 10:1 profitable.