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Old 11-19-2005, 03:29 AM
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Default Re: Fade the public on every game?

[ QUOTE ]
This is kind of a noob question, but I'd like to get some thoughts on this...

Fading the public is obviously a good play, since the books know what they're doing and don't give away free money.

So, when you have access to things like wagerline and you can find out what the public is doing...why not fade the public on every single bet you could possibly find where there was xx% of public money on one side? Why would this system not work? If it would, does anyone do it?

[/ QUOTE ]

No offense Bills, admittedly I know nothing about you, but this line of thinking is something a lazy, losing gambler (ie most gamblers) would come up with. Probably from the same guys that play strictly from a "starting hands chart" in poker. Think about it for a second, if it were really that easy, wouldn't we all be rich now? But in reality, being a winning sports gambler takes time and energy, just like poker and anything else. But don't take my word for it. The best way to learn is by doing. Try it yourself. Start with super small betting units ($5?) and go against every public play (set a threshold, maybe >70%?). Keep track of your results in a thread and we'll all follow. Sure you'll lose, but you'll also get a better feel for teams and situations that will make you better able to find the good plays.
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