ATs EP

[krishanleong]

Party Poker 15/30 Hold'em (9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, MP1 calls, <font color="#666666">6 folds</font>.

Flop: (5.66 SB) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 raises</font>, Hero calls.

Turn: (4.83 BB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 bets</font>, Hero ...

Villian seemed solid. If semi-bluff checkraising the turn worth it here? I have 8+ outs against his likely hands with perhaps as many as 11. If Villian was coldcalling with a pair less than J I figure he has to let go a good % of the time. Is anyone ever folding AJ or KJ here? TT and 99 probably would have 3-bet but since they have a gutshot I don't think they would fold.

Mostly I'm wondering if I'm missing any hands from his range, (Aq, KQ, AJ, KJ, JT, TT-55) and if anyone thinks Villian will fold a J to a turn cr. Thanks,

Krishan