Totals analysis MNF

[MCS]

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If the middle isn't the best bet, it does allow for low-risk/high reward betting (though at a longshot), right? I'm just trying to understand WHY he made this bet since it certainly was a longshot to come through.

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You might not be sure which side is the better side even though one must be. The EV difference might be almost zero anyway.

He made the bet simply because the bet was +EV; it's like calling the river with a weak hand in a sufficiently big pot. Usually you lose, but sometimes, woohoo. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] And there are enough woohoos to make up for the "of course I was beat"s.