Minn @ GB

[judgesmails]

I am not saying Green Bay is a good team or anything, or even that I would bet them this week laying over 3. But consider the following stats with this team. I will be looking to play them when they are getting points later in the year.

First downs: GBP 182 Opp 164
3rd down %: GBP 45.3 Opp 37.8
Ave net yds/game: GBP 326 Opp 299
Yds per play: GBP 5.1 Opp 4.9
Touchdowns: GBP 24 Opp 21
Points: GBP 201 Opp 184

Of course their turnover margin is poor, and the reason their record is so bad. But the backbone statistics of actual team performance suggest this team is not really that bad.

Their defense is ranked #10 in the league despite worknig on short fields all year because of the turnover problems. The offense has struggled because they can't run at all. They plugged in a new guard last week and the other guard is starting to play better. If they can continue to run like they did vs. Atlanta - we could make some money playing this team getting points the second half of the season.