#14
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Re: A8s.....river play?
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[ QUOTE ] That means both players have to fold when they would have both called for your raise to be a mistake. [/ QUOTE ] Uh, no. It all depends on what percentage of the time button will cold call, and BB will call, or both fold, or you call and button raises and you can 3 bet, etc. Here's a little math for the most likely scenarios: You raise: Both fold, BB calls = +1 BB (happens 80% of the time) One calls, BB calls = +3 BB (happens 20% of the time) 3(.2) + 1 (.8) = 1.24 BB from raising You call: Both call = +2 BB (happens 10%) One calls = +1 BB (happens 60%) Button raises, BB calls, you 3-bet, button calls, BB folds = +4 BB (happens 20%) Neither call = 0 BB (happens 10%) 2(.1) + 1(.6) + 4(.2) + 0(.1) = 1.6 BB when you call Of course, the percentage are dependent, but it's a little more complicated than you make it. Adjust the percentages to your opinion of your opponents, but this is my approximation, so calling is the best, with raising a close second. [/ QUOTE ] no offense dude. but you seem to have skewed the numbers way in favor of calling. Surely this situation "Button raises, BB calls, you 3-bet, button calls, BB folds = +4 BB (happens 20%)" could have happened if we raised the river... |
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