5-10 PARTY POKER HAND..............

[Nick C]

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Thanks for your replies guys. But if he caps the flop and then pops me again on 4th street, he is SHOUTING that I am beat. Does he have to drop a load of bricks on my head to know that I am not winning? Why call the turn raise and a subsequent river bet knowing that I am beat? Thats 2 BB and an hours worth of work.....give or take.

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This is why I'd hesitate before leading the turn. Once Villain caps the flop, there is a pretty good chance we're behind, and if Villain has a pair + gutshot hand, well, he may not take the free card, and he wasn't folding anyway, so the free card won't cost us the pot when he does take it.

Still, if you lead the turn (and based on the aggressive flop play I've been seeing lately at 5/10, in addition to the semi-regular turn check behinds I've also been seeing, I think I would), I think you have enough combined chances of being ahead of a hand like AK or KQ and of outdrawing a hand like KT to make calling down worthwhile, in this now huge pot.