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Old 11-05-2005, 05:03 PM
llabb llabb is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 159
Default Re: Llabb\'s Locks (NBA)

Does anyone have any experience comparing full game lines to 1st half lines, for heavy favorites?

I think Hou/Ind/Det kill NOK/Phi/Tor respectively, but the lines are in the 11-12 zone, and I'm thinking about taking the 1st half lines instead, to negate the possibility of a back door cover in an early blowout.

Example: last night's NJ/Tor game where NJ absolutely torched them, up by 17 at halftime, and Tor didn't make a comeback until 4th Q where they cut the lead by 9 with the scrubs in the game and NJ taking it easy.

So the 1st half line has obvious benefit for that reason, but the books compensate by not giving you half the full game spread, and instead tacking on an extra half-point to full point on the fav.

Anyone have any thoughts on this in general? Or, more specifically, I'm thinking about taking:

Hou -6.5 1st half vs -12 full game
Ind -6 1st half vs -10.5 full game
Det -11 1st half vs -11 full game
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