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Old 11-04-2005, 12:31 PM
W. Deranged W. Deranged is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 96
Default Re: 99 bottles of beer on the wall...

Hellite,

This hand is quite interesting and you should bet the river.

I initially was a little surprised by the pre-flop cap, but this is clearly quite read based. I find it quite useful in certain situations to cap heads-up with a reasonably wide range in position, as a pre-flop cap is a strong statement and often gives you much more control/leeway later in the hand (including the extremely valuable ability to encourage opponents to fold better pocket pairs on overcard boards). So I like that idea.

The aggro line on the flop and the turn is interesting. My inclination after my opponent bet out after my cap would be to call the flop and raise a blank turn, folding to a raise or taking a free showdown if given the chance. Raising the flop seems to often get in the tough position of getting three-bet and then having to making a very marginal decision against an aggro opponent. The turn raise I find to be a bit better; though you're probably not folding a better hand on this board against this opponent, a turn raise does charge draws and overcards the maximum (though this guy might just bet down with AK/AQ anyway), and costs the same as calling down. It gets in .5 BB less when you take the free showdown than the line you took, but I think it gains quite a bit in preventing marginal decisions (and possibly folding the best hand) as well as allowing for a cheap and graceful departure if the turn is an A.

(Another thing to note: against a skilled opponent-which this guy clearly isn't-the line I advocate strongly encourages villain to fold many better hands... certainly TT and maybe even AJ or QQ. The idea is that our line sort of "represents" AA or KK, and a skilled opponent might be hard-pressed to read our hand for anything but that. I've played against plenty of super-reader types in live games who would often fold QQ there.]

As played, you ended up getting the absolute best scenario, namely you raised the flop and villain showed no further aggression. With that info, I think you can bet the river.
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