River bluff

[suited_ace]

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t50 (8 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Button (t190)
Hero (t1120)
BB (t660)
UTG (t650)
UTG+1 (t1360)
MP1 (t1260)
MP2 (t890)
CO (t1870)

Preflop: Hero is SB with T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls t50, MP1 calls t50, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Button calls t50, Hero completes, BB checks.

Flop: (t250) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font>
Hero checks, BB checks, UTG+1 checks, MP1 checks, Button checks.

<font color="green">Not too exciting for my hand, but not that terrible either. I think it's 50/50 that someone with TP will bet here. If it's checked around, I'm gonna lead the turn if it's not an A, K or Q. </font>

Turn: (t250) 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font>

<font color="green">The turn is a brick, but puts a flush draw on the board, so I'm leading out with something that looks like something somewhat like a value bet that also protects my hand. I'm folding to a raise and if I get more than one caller, I'm in check/fold mode when the river comes.</font>

<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t150</font>, BB folds, UTG+1 calls t150, MP1 folds, Button folds.

River: (t550) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>

<font color="green">This is the perfect situation for me. The only hand I'm *really* affraid of is A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. The other A8 combinations would have probably raised the turn w/ the flush draw and 2 players left to act. Considering the range of hands Villain could have, I thought it was worth the risk.

A blocking bet here would represent 1/4 of my stack and someone w/ TP is usually calling it anyways, so I don't think that's an option. I prefer going for a C/R, even with the risk of Villain checking behind w/ TP.</font>

Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 bets t125</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t500</font>, UTG+1 folds.

I think my line is good (tell me if you don't agree), but it got me thinking if this is really +EV... My first reaction when the hand was over was thinking that I don't really need these marginal spots in a low-level STT.

What do you think?