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Old 10-27-2005, 08:50 AM
sunek sunek is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Denmark/Aarhus
Posts: 51
Default Help me understand these probabilities.

Hi

Last night I was playing a game with some new and very loose and aggressive players. When we were four players left the following hand occurred. I folded and the three others went all in on each other and they had about the same amount of chips.

Their respective hands were A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

I my opinion the guy with 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] was super lucky since he won the hand, so I used poker stove to calculate the probabilities that each of the hands against each other. I actually thought that the A6 would be favorite and that 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] was a huge underdog but is does not seem to be like that.

Hand 1: 33.5150 % [ 00.32 00.01 ] { Ah6c }
Hand 2: 41.1803 % [ 00.41 00.00 ] { KdTd }
Hand 3: 25.3047 % [ 00.24 00.01 ] { 6s5s }

Why is K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] the favourite to win this hand and why does it not hurt 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] very much that there is a 6 with a better kicker on one of the other hands.

Thank you

Regards

sunek
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