#20
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Re: Hand vs. QTip. How terrible is the turn?
[ QUOTE ]
Fact: Q-tip is a known 100-tabler who doesn't have time to be tricky enough to play any hand but AKo this way on the flop. Good turn check. [/ QUOTE ] My thoughts at the time were that any hand he just 3 bet me with there is going to get raised on that flop except TT. So, I figured I would just see the turn for cheap. Perhaps a raise would have been good though if it would have gotten rid of the donk. However, whether he would have folded anything for 2 he would have just folded for 1 is questionable. I didn't really think at the time though how painfully obvious my hand would be at that point. NOW My question is... There has to be some confidence level in my hand to make this check +EV. I would think that you would have to be so confident in my hand that if the turn were a blank, you could fold to my raise or what about even just a bet from me after the BB checks. Something tells me that even those here saying this was a good check would still call for one, maybe even two. I'm not sure if either one of these are good if you're confident enough in my hand to check the turn. I'm not sure how all that works out mathmatically, and I know that there's some reduction in the % necessary given the fact that checking the turn can induce a bet....but I think that factor is small in this situation. |
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