another 99 hand 1/2...is god killing a kitten after seeing this?

[deception5]

I'm apparently in the minority [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

My thoughts here - we're heads up after the flop against an UTG+1 poster and we have a few things going for us.

1.) Our opponent posted UTG+1.
2.) Our opponent checked preflop, decreasing the likelyhood of AA-JJ.
3.) He may put us on a free card raise which is why he 3-bet (which many players would do here on such a draw-heavy flop with any pair).
4.) He may be playing a draw aggressively. This happens very often heads up.
5.) His cards are less likely to be connected because he posted rather than limped.
6.) We raised preflop and many players automatically put preflop raisers on overcards.
7.) Unknowns are more often donks than not at this limit. Especially those who post in UTG+1.

The turn brings the 3 of diamonds. There are good reasons to bet the turn.

1.) We may fold a better hand, Tx with no diamond doesn't look very good after all that action when the flush card hits.
2.) We should be able to fold to a c/r, although I admit it's close - there's definitely an argument here for checking behind and calling the river.
3.) We can bet again on the river if we improve.

If called on the turn we should definitely check behind on the river unimproved, we're too often beaten or not getting called.