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Old 10-19-2005, 02:21 PM
schwza schwza is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2003
Posts: 113
Default 33: BB D 50/100

stacks:

BB (hero): 1000
SB: 1800
BTN: 1700
CO (pusher): 1100
MP3: 2400

CO pushes, folds to me. i have A7o.

if i put CO on a very wide range of Q9+, K2+, A2+, 22+ (and dumb range - 78s would obviously be a better pushing hand for villain, but i'm lazy and using sngpt defaults), i'm 50.7% to win.

i thought that would make it a clear fold. i'm getting only a little bit of pot odds (250 in dead money on a 900 call), so i thought that i should fold for sure. but sngpt says it's +0.1%, so could go either way.

anyway, just surprised to see how willing you should be to gamble when you're not in a great spot to cash but are far from desperate.

(and a8 is 52.3% and +0.5% to call)
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