AA fold

[Nick_Foxx]

I play mostly Stud Hi/Lo and Omaha Hi/Lo, but occasionally I play a NLH SNG to switch things up. I thought this was an obvious fold but when I asked some friends, they were flat-out indignant that I folded AA pre-flop. Some considerations:

Seat 4 had been sitting out the entire tournament.
Seat 8 had shown an inclination to call very large bets with marginal holdings.

My reasoning:

1. If I move in and no one calls, I can steal the blinds, and still be the short stack.
2. If I move in and Seat 8 calls and I win, I will still be the short stack.
3. If I move in and Seat 8 calls and I lose... well, I don't have to explain that.
4. If I fold, I strongly believe I can beat Seat 5 who has been playing poorly, and at least finish second.

Fire away

==

PokerStars Game #2784240991: Tournament #13683730, Hold'em No Limit -
Level IV (50/100) - 2005/10/12 - 01:56:49 (ET)
Table '13683730 1' Seat #7 is the button
Seat 4: (280 in chips) is sitting out
Seat 5: (3505 in chips)
Seat 7: Me (1280 in chips)
Seat 8: (8435 in chips)
Seat 8: posts small blind 50
Seat 4: posts big blind 100
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Me [A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]]
Seat 5: folds
Me: folds
Seat 8: raises 100 to 200
Seat 4: folds
Seat 8 collected 200 from pot
Seat 8: doesn't show hand